Smyrna Vinings Home Sales Continue Upward Swing

Time to recap the August home sales and our current Smyrna Vinings real estate market. Most pressing point to understand is that the Smyrna Vinings area continues to improve. Homes sales continued their surge and hit a four year high in August. Do we have more room for improvement, sure. But it is getting harder to find those great deals for our clients as inventory continues to shrink. So let’s get to it and see what’s going on in the only market that matters most to you, your local Smyrna Vinings home market.

This chart shows you the past 12 months of home sales at any given point. As you’ll notice, the green bar is 2007 and we were selling a fair amount more homes in 2007. Sales dropped significantly in 2008, with the drop becoming more pronounced toward the last quarter of 2008. That would be the beginning of the financial meltdown. 2009 home sales started off about 32% off the level just two years previously in January 2007. We saw Smyrna Vinings home sales continue to drop in 2009, but then leveling off in late summer and actually seeing sales pick up toward the end of the year. Typically, you expect sales to be higher in the late Spring and early Summer, but that hasn’t been the case in 2007-2010.

We’ve seen overall sales trending lower for the past three years, but strong improvement over the past four months. We do expect home sales to level off over the next month or two which would be typical cyclical activity. Pending contracts are down slightly compared to July, so this may prove to be the peak for 2012 in terms of sales.


The Active Listings chart depicts Smyrna Vinings homes currently for sale. The general shape of the annual graphs are pretty consistent until we get to this year. What is different is that we’re just seeing a lot fewer homes on the market than in years. As a general rule, we’ve seen inventory increase in the April to June range and then see the amount of Smyrna Vinings homes for sale reduce towards the end of the year. This year, we haven’t seen much of an increase in inventory as home buyers seem to be jumping on homes very quickly and we’ve seen a significant drop in July and August. Whereas in past years homes may have taken 90 days to sell causing inventory levels to increase, we’re now seeing a lot of homes sell within two weeks. As the inventory shrinks, you will expect to see homes sell quicker as there are fewer homes for buyers to choose from and when the right home pops up, the patient buyers will be ready to jump.

Some homeowners may feel like it’s time to stay put and some may feel like they just can’t sell in this market. 2012 inventory levels are at an all time-low in August compared to the last five years. If you’ve thought about selling and just aren’t sure, be sure to contact us or find out how much your home is worth. Less competition is a good thing if you’re ready to sell.

One other important statistic that we like to track is how the overall health of the Smyrna Vinings home market. Months of inventory is a calculation that takes the current amount of homes for sale and divides that by the number of homes that have sold in the last 12 months. What the result means is if no more homes were listed, how many months would it take, based upon the past 12 months activity, to sell all the homes currently for sale.

A result of 6 months is considered a healthy market, less than 6 months a seller’s market and more than 6 months, a buyer’s market. What we can see from the chart above is that for the past four months we have now had lower inventory levels than at any point in the past five years. Compare that with the highest amount of bloat and most severe buyer’s market in July of 2009 with significant improvement in 2010 on into 2011 and 2012.

In August, inventory levels dropped quite a bit more and we’re now at 5.5 months worth of inventory in August versus 9.1 months just a year ago. Unlike 2011, we’re starting with very thin levels of inventory. Our inventory levels were tracking with 2007, which was the very beginning of when the market dropped off and inventory soared. The difference between now and then is that the trend line for 2012 has not continued to follow the 2007 trend line. As expected, months of inventory have remained low as buyers are scooping up deals as quickly as they hit the market. For the last six months, we’ve seen a surge in pending contracts at the end of each month. Technically, we are now in a seller’s market based on current inventory levels. What this means as you will continue to see prices slowly rise from here as demand outpaces supply.

That is your Smyrna Vinings homes sales activity recap for August 2012. Hope that was helpful and don’t hesitate to contact us if we can help you sell your Smyrna Vinings home or find your new Smyrna Vinings home.

Click here if you’d like to know what your Smyrna Vinings homes is worth.

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About the Author ()

Aaron Hofmann is the founder of and also a Realtor with Atlanta Communities focused on the Smyrna real estate market and the Vinings real estate market. Aaron is a transplant from the Midwest (amazingly not a native Atlantan) and has lived in the Smyrna Vinings area for over 10 years. Find Aaron Hofmann on Google+

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